research report

Understanding the Impact of Charging Infrastructure on the Consideration to Purchase an Electric Vehicle in California

Abstract

This research makes explicit and tests an implicit assumption in policies promoting public investment in plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) charging infrastructure: even people who are not already interested in PEVs see public PEV charging. Data from a survey representing all car-owning households in California are combined with per capita counts of public PEV charging locations and PEV registrations to estimate a structural equation model for two central variables: the extent to which participants have already considered acquiring a battery electric vehicle (BEV) or plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV), and whether and how many places people see PEV charging. The model controls for socio-economic and demographic measures as well as participants’ awareness, knowledge, and assessments of PEVs. The model also controls for the known spatial correlation between PEV registrations and public PEV charging locations. The conclusion is there is no evidence of a relationship between public charging location density and participants reporting they see PEV charging locations. Nor is there a relationship between public charging location density and PEV purchase consideration. The evidence indicates there is little reason to assume building more public PEV charging means more people will see that charging or that more people will consider purchasing a PEV. Rather, awareness, knowledge, and positive assessments of PEVs allow people to see PEV charging in their local environment. In short, interest in PEVs is a prerequisite to people seeing PEV charging. Concomitant investments to increase awareness of PEVs and engagement in a transition to them as well as in PEV charging infrastructure may be a more effective way to grow the PEV market.

policy brief

How Are California’s Public Transit Operators Faring Fiscally Coming Out of the Pandemic?

Abstract

Initially, the COVID-19 pandemic threatened to inflict severe and lasting damage to public transit systems in California. Some experts feared that agencies would lay off workers; shutter lines for months, if not permanently; strand essential workers who depend on transit; and even go bankrupt. However, thanks to federal financial relief from three stimulus bills and stronger-than-expected bounce-back of tax revenues from state and local sources, transit agencies in 2022 have avoided that abyss — but still face an uncertain financial future. Meanwhile, operational challenges and, increasingly, workforce issues have hampered returns to regular service, potentially affecting transit budgets.To explore the financial effects of the pandemic on California transit and agencies’ responses to it, we conducted a detailed survey of transit agency staff in late fall 2021 and early winter 2022. We received responses from 44 agencies, though not all agencies responded to all questions. We included a number of questions previously asked of California transit agencies in early fall 2020 in Speroni, Taylor, and Hwang (forthcoming), in order to compare two very different points in the pandemic.

research report

Surveying the Financial Conditions of California’s Public Transit Operators: An Early to Mid-Pandemic Comparison

Abstract

Initially, the COVID-19 pandemic threatened to inflict severe and lasting damage to public transit in California. However, thanks to federal financial relief from three stimulus bills and stronger-than-expected bounce-back of tax revenues from state and local sources, transit agencies in 2022 have avoided that abyss—but still face an uncertain financial future. To explore the financial effects of the pandemic on California transit and agencies’ responses to it, the research team conducted a survey of transit agency staff in late fall 2021 and early winter 2022. While nearly all of the systems surveyed reported moderate to substantial increases in federal funding during the pandemic, nearly three-quarters said that they expect some financial shortfalls once federal pandemic relief funding expires. Despite the loss of fare revenues, most respondents told us that fiscal shortfalls were not affecting their service presently, though neither are most systems contemplating moving to blanket fare-free transit over the longer run. While finances generally are not hampering service, labor issues are: most surveyed agencies reported difficulty filling open positions, which, on some systems, is limiting service delivery.

research report

How Well Do New K-12 Public School Sites in California Incorporate Mitigation Measures Known to Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled?

Abstract

California law (SB 743) requires school districts to measure the impact of school construction on the production of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and identify feasible mitigation measures that eliminate or substantially reduce the number of vehicle miles traveled (VMT) generated. This study analyzes 301 new schools constructed between 2008-2018 with respect to four VMT mitigation measures identified by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR) known to minimize VMT (proximity to high-quality transit areas, proximity to roads with bicycle facilities, walkability scores, and proximity to electric vehicle charging stations). The analysis reveals mixed findings. Only about 16% of the new schools sited are located within ½ mile from high-quality transit. About 65% of new school sites are either connected or are close to (.06 miles or less) a bicycle network. Walkability scores varied greatly by location; approximately 60% of new school sites in “city” locales are considered walkable while sites in “rural” areas have low walkability scores. Nearly 60% (179) of new school sites are located within one mile of an EV charger, but only 19% are within one-quarter mile.

conference paper

Latent Class Analysis of Changes in the Use of Public Transportation in The Greater Los Angeles Region during the COVID-19 Pandemic

published journal article

Estimating the travel demand impacts of semi automated vehicles

Abstract

In this study, we investigate changes in travel due to level 2 automation among owners of electric vehicles in California. Level 2 automation has the potential to reduce driver fatigue and make driving less stressful which could mean drivers choose to travel more. We use questionnaire survey data to investigate changes to long-distance travel and annual vehicle miles traveled (VMT) due to automation. Results show those who report doing more long-distance travel because of automation are younger; have a lower household income; live in urban areas; own a longer-range electric vehicle; use automation in a variety of conditions; have pro-technology attitudes and prefer outdoor lifestyles. We use propensity score matching to investigate whether automation leads to an increase in annual VMT. The results of this show 4059–4971 more miles per year among users of level 2 automation compared to owners of similar vehicles without automation.

policy brief

New Metrics Are Needed to Understand the Environmental Benefits of Micromobility Services

Abstract

Micromobility services (e.g., conventional and electric bikeshare programs and electric scootershare programs) hold great potential for reducing vehicle miles traveled and greenhouse gas emissions if these services are used as substitutes for car travel and/or to access public transit. But estimating these environmental effects is challenging, as it requires measuring changes in human behavior—that is, the choice of what transportation mode to use. While many cities collect various micromobility usage metrics to regulate services, these metrics are not sufficient for calculating the sustainability benefits of these services.

research report

Micromobility Trip Characteristics, Transit Connections, and COVID-19 Effects

Abstract

While micro-mobility services (e.g., bike-share, e-bike share, e-scooter share) hold great potential for providing clean travel, estimating the effects of those services on vehicle miles traveled and reducing greenhouse gases is challenging. To address some of the challenges, this study examined survey, micromobility, and transit data collected from 2017 to 2021 in approximately 20 U.S. cities. Micromobility fleet utilization ranged widely from 0.7 to 12 trips per vehicle per day, and the average trip distance was 0.8 to 3.6 miles. The median (range) rates at which micro-mobility trips substituted for other modes were 41% (16–71%) for car trips, 36% (5–48%) for walking, and 8% (2–35%) for transit, 5% (2–42%) for no trip. In most cities, the mean actual trip distance was approximately 1.5 to 2 times longer than the mean distance of a line connecting origin to destination. There was a weak and unclear connection between micro-mobility use and transit use that requires further study to more clearly delineate, but micro-mobility use had a stronger positive relationship to nearby rail use than to nearby bus use in cities with rail and bus service. The COVID-19 pandemic led to more moderate declines in docked than in dockless bike-share systems. Metrics that would enable a better assessment of the impacts of micro-mobility are vehicle miles traveled and emissions of micro-mobility fleets and their service vehicles, and miles and percentage of micro-mobility trips that connect to transit or substitute for car trips.

policy brief

Electrifying Ridehailing: A Cross-Sector Research Agenda

Abstract

Electrifying ridehailing services provided by transportation network companies (TNCs) such as Uber and Lyft can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution) and provide cost savings on fuel and maintenance to TNC drivers. Policy levers have emerged to nudge the industry in this direction. California’s Senate Bill 1014 establishes a “Clean Miles Standard” requiring that an increasing percentage of ridehailing services be provided by zero-emissions vehicles. However, the path to achieving this goal is unclear. This brief is the last in a series on TNC electrification. It presents a research agenda identified by government and industry stakeholders, articulating what they believe are the most important questions to address to find the path to TNC electrification. This brief also highlights which perceived research needs are shared broadly and which differ across government and industry stakeholders. The aim is to facilitate a shared understanding for better research, policy, and business practices.

policy brief

Electrifying Ridehailing: Drivers’ Charging Practices and Electric Vehicle Characteristics Predict the Intensity of Electric Vehicle Use

Abstract

Electrifying ridehailing services provided by transportation network companies (TNCs) can reduce climate-altering emissions and air pollution and provide cost savings on fuel and maintenance to TNC drivers. Policy levers have emerged to nudge the industry in this direction. California’s Senate Bill 1014 establishes a “clean miles standard” requiring an increasing percentage of ride-hailing services be provided by zero-emissions vehicles such as plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs)—together referred to as plug-in vehicles (PEVs). This can be achieved by increasing the number of TNC drivers using BEVs and PHEVs, and by increasing the electric miles PHEV drivers travel.