Our Experts

Miguel Jaller

Associate Professor, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, UC Davis

Areas of Expertise

Freight, Logistics, & Supply Chain Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment Zero-Emission Vehicles & Low-Carbon Fuels

Recent Projects

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Our Experts

Douglas Houston

Associate Professor, Department of Planning, Policy, and Design, UC Irvine

Areas of Expertise

Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Recent Projects

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Research Team:

Jae Hong Kim (lead), Jesus Barajas, Douglas Houston, Nicholas Marantz

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis, UC Irvine

Research Team:

Nicholas Marantz (lead), Jae Hong Kim, Douglas Houston, Moira O'Neill, Eric Biber

UC Campus(es):

UC Irvine

Our Experts

Scott Hardman

Professional Researcher, Electric Vehicle Research Center, UC Davis

Areas of Expertise

Intelligent Transportation Systems, Emerging Technologies, & Big Data Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment Zero-Emission Vehicles & Low-Carbon Fuels

Recent Projects

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Research Team:

Scott Hardman (lead)

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Research Team:

Scott Hardman (lead), Maha Shafeen

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Brace for Impact: The Environmental and Economic Effects of Shifting Passenger Travel from Airplanes to High-Speed Rail

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

July 20, 2020 - June 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

J.R. DeShazo

Project Team

Jason Karpman, James Di Fillippo

Areas of Expertise

Public Transit, Shared Mobility, & Active Transportation Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Campus(es)

UCLA

Project Summary

Aviation is the most greenhouse gas (GHG) intensive mode of transport for intrastate trips. Yet, there is no clear pathway for decarbonizing this sector. In the meantime, reducing GHGs from aviation requires shifting trips from the air to the ground, either by train or motor vehicle. There is a growing body of research that has documented the GHG implications of this diversion, but there are relatively few studies that have focused on other environmental and economic tradeoffs, or the efficacy of various policy instruments at facilitating this diversion. Researchers at the UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation propose synthesizing the peer reviewed and grey literature on: (1) the societal tradeoffs of shifting passenger and cargo transportation from the air to the ground; (2) the policy instruments for facilitating this shift; and (3) the interaction of these instruments with the various motivations behind mode choice. The synthesis will pull out key takeaways for policymakers and transportation planners in California, where the construction of an interregional high-speed rail network is already underway. The findings from this synthesis could help inform the state’s efforts to stimulate an economic recovery in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, while also leading the way towards carbon neutrality.

policy brief

On-Road Motor Vehicles No Longer Dominate Ozone Formation

Publication Date

August 1, 2024

Author(s)

Areas of Expertise

Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Abstract

The amount of traffic on California’s roadways decreased by approximately fifty percent during the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown in March and April of 2020. Conventional wisdom led to the expectation that reduced traffic would result in reduced ozone (O3) concentrations—ozone being a main component of smog—yet ozone concentrations increased during this period. Internal combustion vehicles emit oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). These emissions are precursors for ozone formation, but the relationship between these precursor emissions and the final ozone concentration is complex. The ratio of NOx/VOCs determines if the ozone formation will be “NOx-limited” or “NOx-rich”. Major NOx reductions are required to reduce ozone concentrations when the atmosphere is NOx-rich. Small NOx reductions in a NOx-rich atmosphere can actually increase ozone concentrations.

To inform ongoing efforts to reduce ambient O3 concentrations, this brief highlights findings from research that collected and analyzed air pollution measurements in urban locations adjacent to major freeways in the City of Sacramento and the City of Redlands—both during and after COVID-19 stay-at-home orders. The results provide an updated estimate for how many more years of NOx control will be required before O3 benefits are realized.

published journal article

Does Discretion Delay Development?

Publication Date

November 15, 2022

Author(s)

Shane Phillips, Nolan Gray, Michael Manville, Paavo Monkkonen

Areas of Expertise

Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Abstract

Problem, research strategy, and findings:
Local governments sometimes approve multifamily housing through a discretionary process, meaning a public body must vote to entitle the proposal before it can seek a building permit. By-right entitlement, in contrast, allows developers to apply directly for a building permit. We tested the hypothesis that by-right approvals are faster. Faster approval can make multifamily development more feasible, which can in turn improve housing affordability. Analyses of approval pathways are often confounded by project size and complexity, but we exploited a provision in the Los Angeles Transit-Oriented Communities (TOC) program that allowed many large projects to use by-right approval. Using data from roughly 350 multifamily projects permitted in Los Angeles (CA) from January 2018 through March 2020, we compared approval timelines for both by-right and discretionary projects. We found that by-right projects were permitted 28% faster than discretionary projects, controlling for project and neighborhood characteristics. By-right projects also had less variance in their approval times, suggesting that by-right approval offers not just more speed but more certainty.

Takeaway for practice:
Planners should create more opportunities for multifamily housing to be permitted by right. Despite some selection bias in our study, evidence from the TOC program suggests that creating a by-right option would accelerate approval time and thus substantially benefit housing production. The faster approval timelines, moreover, have been accompanied by an increase in average project size and the number of units reserved for low-income households.

other

Working Paper: How Does Traffic, or the Fear of it, Affect Housing Affordability? Examining the Effect of Traffic Impact Analysis on Housing Production and Affordability

Areas of Expertise

Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Abstract

Traffic impact analysis (TIA), which estimates the traffic impacts of proposed land development, tends to bias against higher-density developments in urban areas where traffic is often congested and travel alternatives plentiful. This has important implications for housing supply and affordability, suburban sprawl, and private vehicle dependence. The research team examines the understudied implication of TIA on housing by drawing on empirical evidence from distinct bodies of research in the transportation and land use planning literature to describe the mechanisms through which TIA may affect housing market conditions. The researchers conclude that TIAs likely have negative effects on urban housing production and affordability.

published journal article

Traffic Trumps All: Examining the Effect of Traffic Impact Analyses on Urban Housing

Areas of Expertise

Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Abstract

Traffic impact analysis (TIA), which estimates the nearby traffic effects of proposed land development, tends to bias against higher-density developments in urban areas where traffic is often heavy and travel alternatives plentiful. This has important implications for housing supply and affordability, suburban sprawl, and private vehicle dependence. We examine the understudied implications of TIA on housing by drawing on empirical evidence from distinct bodies of research in the transportation and land use planning literature to describe the mechanisms through which TIA may affect housing markets. We conclude that TIAs likely have negative effects on both urban housing production and affordability.

policy brief

Traffic Trumps All: Examining the Effect of Traffic Impact Analyses on Urban Housing

Areas of Expertise

Travel Behavior, Land Use, & the Built Environment

Abstract

Traffic impact analyses (TIA) are widely used by local governments to assess the traffic impacts of proposed land use developments. TIAs are often measured in terms of expected changes to traffic flows through nearby intersections using a metric called “level of service” (LOS). This process tends to be biased against higher-density developments in urban areas where traffic is already congested and travel alternatives are plentiful. Researchers have found that the projected traffic impacts of developments in already built-up areas tend to be overestimated, which leads to higher traffic impact fees and related costs associated with the TIA process. Often, local residents use such analyses as evidence to oppose new developments on traffic grounds. The result is that TIAs can help discourage new housing production in built-up areas where demand is greatest, which likely exacerbates the housing affordability crises in places like California.In essence, the logic of TIAs is that the human activities and the built environment in cities should vary to keep nearby traffic flowing smoothly. The fundamental problem with LOS-based TIAs is that they measure vehicle mobility and not the more fundamental goals of economic and social accessibility. While California has been a national leader in changing the metric by which traffic impacts are evaluated under the California Environmental Quality Act, from LOS to vehicle miles of travel effects, LOS-based analyses of development proposals are still typically conducted by local governments — even in the Golden State.This study reviewed and synthesized research on TIAs and their effects on land use planning, and found that mobility-focused transportation planning likely contributes to the housing affordability crisis plaguing many places. Further, research shows that gradually shifting away from mobility-centered metrics, like LOS, and toward more accessibility-centered evaluation tools, will enable more comprehensive assessments of development impacts, which could help ease California’s housing affordability crisis.