policy brief

How Did Transit Service Adjustments During the Pandemic Impact Job Accessibility in the San Francisco Bay Area?

Publication Date

January 1, 2025

Author(s)

Phoebe Ho, Johanna Zmud, Joan Walker

Abstract

This study examined geographic and temporal patterns in service adjustments and evaluated their job accessibility impacts for three major San Francisco Bay Area transit agencies between 2020 and 2023: the Alameda-Contra Costa Transit District (AC Transit), the San Francisco Bay Area Rapid Transit District (BART), and the San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency (MUNI). This retrospective analysis can help transit agencies develop equitable service strategies in the event of future disruptions.

policy brief

Assessing the Shift to Remote and Hybrid Work in California throughout the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

Beginning in 2020, many in-person activities were replaced by virtual activities as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This affected fundamental elements of transportation systems such as trip frequency, commute distance, origins, and destinations. For example, remote work and study were widely adopted among workers and students. Still, the ways that the pandemic affected individuals’ work arrangements across different phases of the pandemic and the extent to which full remote work and hybrid work induced by the pandemic might persist in the future are unclear. In addition, recent studies are not conclusive regarding the ways changes in work arrangements do/will impact travel patterns and trip making.

Our Experts

Recent Projects

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Research Team:

Yongsung Lee (lead), Giovanni Circella, Miguel Jaller

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Research Team:

Miguel Jaller (lead), Maria Catalina Valencia-Cardenas, Juan Lopez

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Our Experts

Douglas Houston

Associate Professor, Department of Planning, Policy, and Design, UC Irvine

Recent Projects

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Research Team:

Paul Ong (lead), Jacob Wasserman, Douglas Houston, Margaretta Lin, Jesus M. Barajas, Charisma Acey

UC Campus(es):

UC Berkeley, UC Davis, UC Irvine, UCLA

Research Team:

Jae Hong Kim (lead), Jesus M. Barajas, Douglas Houston, Nicholas Marantz

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis, UC Irvine

Our Experts

Recent Projects

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Research Team:

Scott Hardman (lead), Alan Jenn

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Research Team:

Alan Jenn (lead), Scott Hardman, Aaron Rabinowitz, Yanning Li

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Research Team:

Scott Hardman (lead), Maha Shafaeen, Kelly Hoogland

UC Campus(es):

UC Davis

Brace for Impact: The Environmental and Economic Effects of Shifting Passenger Travel from Airplanes to High-Speed Rail

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

July 20, 2020 - June 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

J.R. DeShazo

Project Team

Jason Karpman, James Di Fillippo

Project Summary

Aviation is the most greenhouse gas (GHG) intensive mode of transport for intrastate trips. Yet, there is no clear pathway for decarbonizing this sector. In the meantime, reducing GHGs from aviation requires shifting trips from the air to the ground, either by train or motor vehicle. There is a growing body of research that has documented the GHG implications of this diversion, but there are relatively few studies that have focused on other environmental and economic tradeoffs, or the efficacy of various policy instruments at facilitating this diversion. Researchers at the UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation propose synthesizing the peer reviewed and grey literature on: (1) the societal tradeoffs of shifting passenger and cargo transportation from the air to the ground; (2) the policy instruments for facilitating this shift; and (3) the interaction of these instruments with the various motivations behind mode choice. The synthesis will pull out key takeaways for policymakers and transportation planners in California, where the construction of an interregional high-speed rail network is already underway. The findings from this synthesis could help inform the state’s efforts to stimulate an economic recovery in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, while also leading the way towards carbon neutrality.

policy brief

On-Road Motor Vehicles No Longer Dominate Ozone Formation

Abstract

The amount of traffic on California’s roadways decreased by approximately fifty percent during the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown in March and April of 2020. Conventional wisdom led to the expectation that reduced traffic would result in reduced ozone (O3) concentrations—ozone being a main component of smog—yet ozone concentrations increased during this period. Internal combustion vehicles emit oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). These emissions are precursors for ozone formation, but the relationship between these precursor emissions and the final ozone concentration is complex. The ratio of NOx/VOCs determines if the ozone formation will be “NOx-limited” or “NOx-rich”. Major NOx reductions are required to reduce ozone concentrations when the atmosphere is NOx-rich. Small NOx reductions in a NOx-rich atmosphere can actually increase ozone concentrations.

To inform ongoing efforts to reduce ambient O3 concentrations, this brief highlights findings from research that collected and analyzed air pollution measurements in urban locations adjacent to major freeways in the City of Sacramento and the City of Redlands—both during and after COVID-19 stay-at-home orders. The results provide an updated estimate for how many more years of NOx control will be required before O3 benefits are realized.

published journal article

Does Discretion Delay Development?

Abstract

Problem, research strategy, and findings:
Local governments sometimes approve multifamily housing through a discretionary process, meaning a public body must vote to entitle the proposal before it can seek a building permit. By-right entitlement, in contrast, allows developers to apply directly for a building permit. We tested the hypothesis that by-right approvals are faster. Faster approval can make multifamily development more feasible, which can in turn improve housing affordability. Analyses of approval pathways are often confounded by project size and complexity, but we exploited a provision in the Los Angeles Transit-Oriented Communities (TOC) program that allowed many large projects to use by-right approval. Using data from roughly 350 multifamily projects permitted in Los Angeles (CA) from January 2018 through March 2020, we compared approval timelines for both by-right and discretionary projects. We found that by-right projects were permitted 28% faster than discretionary projects, controlling for project and neighborhood characteristics. By-right projects also had less variance in their approval times, suggesting that by-right approval offers not just more speed but more certainty.

Takeaway for practice:
Planners should create more opportunities for multifamily housing to be permitted by right. Despite some selection bias in our study, evidence from the TOC program suggests that creating a by-right option would accelerate approval time and thus substantially benefit housing production. The faster approval timelines, moreover, have been accompanied by an increase in average project size and the number of units reserved for low-income households.

other

Working Paper: How Does Traffic, or the Fear of it, Affect Housing Affordability? Examining the Effect of Traffic Impact Analysis on Housing Production and Affordability

Abstract

Traffic impact analysis (TIA), which estimates the traffic impacts of proposed land development, tends to bias against higher-density developments in urban areas where traffic is often congested and travel alternatives plentiful. This has important implications for housing supply and affordability, suburban sprawl, and private vehicle dependence. The research team examines the understudied implication of TIA on housing by drawing on empirical evidence from distinct bodies of research in the transportation and land use planning literature to describe the mechanisms through which TIA may affect housing market conditions. The researchers conclude that TIAs likely have negative effects on urban housing production and affordability.