policy brief

Ambiguity in Defining High-Quality Transit Shapes Where Housing Can Be Built in California

Abstract

“Major transit stop”—how these three words are defined determines what can be built where, throughout much of California. To address housing shortages and reduce reliance on driving, California has enacted a number of laws that streamline housing approvals and remove zoning constraints in areas near high-quality transit. Many of these laws allow for greater density, less parking, and faster permitting within half a mile of a “major transit stop,” While the law establishes a statewide framework for what counts as a “major transit stop,” it leaves substantial room for interpretation. Key elements—such as how to measure service frequency, what constitutes a bus route intersection, or how to define the geographic extent of a “stop”—are not fully specified in statute. As a result, planners, developers, and local governments apply the definition in different ways, whether due to technical limitations, differing assumptions, or local policy priorities. These interpretive differences have meaningful consequences. To better understand these impacts, the research team compared two bookend interpretations of state law: a minimal approach using the narrowest plausible interpretation and a maximal approach using the broadest plausible interpretation, counting more as qualifying transit.

policy brief

Tracking the Transition: Why California Needs a Central Database for Zero-Emission Trucks

Abstract

California has set some of the most ambitious clean-truck goals in the world. Governor Newsom’s 2020 Executive Order includes a goal that all medium- and heavy-duty trucks be zero-emission by 2045 where feasible. To meet this goal, the California Air Resources Board approved two regulations focusing on trucks—the Advanced Clean Trucks rule, requiring manufacturers to sell zero emission trucks (ZETs), and the Advanced Clean Fleets rule, requiring fleets to purchase them. Rapidly shifting truck purchases toward ZETs requires many concurrent changes—fleets must want to buy these vehicles, manufacturers must provide them, and (with state assistance) their sale prices must be affordable. Success also depends on the timely build-out of charging and hydrogen refueling infrastructure. All of this requires careful planning and tracking of progress. To support this effort, a wide range of data and indicators are needed to track progress and indicate where more effort may be needed. To this end, the research team developed a framework of key performance indicators and a strategy for a statewide database—preferably with public access—that would allow policymakers, fleets, and utilities to monitor progress and identify gaps.

policy brief

Organizing and Delivering Public Transit Service in California

Abstract

California’s large metropolitan areas, particularly greater Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area, are each served by dozens of distinct transit operators. This fragmentation creates a disjointed experience for many riders—who face different fares, schedules, and route maps—and can create inefficiencies in service delivery. Accordingly, international and U.S. studies of organization and coordination for insights on the most effective governance structures for public transit were reviewed. Specifically, the review considered whether consolidating transit agencies into larger entities or coordinating specific functions across existing agencies can improve ridership, cost-efficiency, and equity.

research report

What are the Best Ways to Organize, Coordinate, and Deliver Public Transit Service in Large Metropolitan Areas? A Research Synthesis

Abstract

This report analyzes the optimal organization of public transit service in large U.S. metropolitan areas—like Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area where multiple operators serve overlapping markets. It synthesizes over 50 international and U.S. studies of: (1) regional transit governance and coordination, (2) economies of scale and scope in transit operations, and (3) service contracting. The report finds that regions gain the most from coordinating front-end, customer-facing functions such as marketing, fares, information, and service planning through a regional association or authority, while leaving back-end service-production and delivery decentralized among sub-regional operators. This approach enhances riders’ travel experience, increases ridership, and improves cost efficiency. Conversely, large-scale transit agency mergers rarely save money and often introduce diseconomies of scale due to increased organizational complexity and higher labor costs. For some large agencies, contracting certain services coupled with strong oversight and performance-based incentives can lower costs. The report concludes that combining regional coordination of front-end, customer-facing functions with decentralized back-end service production offers an optimal blend of service coordination and cost-effectiveness.

policy brief

The Long-term Impacts of the Pandemic on Ride-hailing Use Could Have Negative Environmental Impacts

Abstract

Ridehailing services (such as those offered by Uber and Lyft) can contribute to increases in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) by attracting demand from more sustainable modes, encouraging additional travel, and driving while not serving passengers. Pooled ridehailing services (i.e., ridehailing services that offer discounted fares in exchange for the potential to be matched with other customers traveling to similar destinations) have been identified as a means of addressing the negative impacts of ridehailing services. However, the impact of pooled ridehailing is heavily influenced by the uptake of these services. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic substantially influenced travel mode preferences, resulting in an increased preference for individual modes (e.g., private vehicles and active modes) and a reduced preference for shared modes (e.g., public transit and ridehailing). Given the disruptive impacts of the pandemic on travel mode preferences, and the negative impacts of ridehailing services during the pre-pandemic period, it is crucial to understand whether the pandemic will have long-term impacts on ridehailing use. To examine the long-term impacts of the pandemic, the research used data from two web-based surveys of California residents to 1) compare ridehailing use during the pre-pandemic (fall 2019) and post-pandemic (fall 2023) periods, and 2) analyze the factors influencing post-pandemic ridehailing use in California.

preprint journal article

Transit Riders' Evacuation During the 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires

Abstract

Urban wildfires require large-scale evacuations where many populations may rely on public transit. Wildfire evacuation research has largely focused on car-based evacuations, limiting empirical understanding of evacuation needs for people with limited or no car access. This study examines evacuation mode choice among transit riders during the January 2025 Palisades and Eaton wildfires in Los Angeles. Through a rapid-response post-wildfire survey targeting transit riders through the Transit app, we capture rich data on evacuees’ behavior along with the stated intentions of non-evacuees. Through bivariate comparison using Fisher’s exact tests and binary logit models, we leverage this survey data to uncover novel findings about transit riders’ evacuation behavior. Results indicate that evacuation mode choice largely reflected pre-fire mobility patterns, with prior use strongly predicting evacuation behavior. Nearly half of evacuees relied on rides from friends or family – substantially more than anticipated – highlighting the central role of informal mobility networks during fast-moving wildfire events. Transit-based evacuation was disproportionately concentrated among low-income and racial/ethnic minority riders, suggesting that structural inequities shape feasible protective actions. These findings suggest that evacuation planning in dense urban regions must move beyond assumptions of universal vehicle access and explicitly account for mobility constraints and informal ride networks under extreme conditions.

published journal article

Evacuation and Transportation Barriers Among Vulnerable Populations in Natural Hazard-Related Disasters: A Scoping Review

Abstract

Natural hazard-related disasters such as wildfires, hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods pose significant risks to older adults, individuals with disabilities, and those with chronic health conditions. Transportation-related challenges during and after evacuation can severely impact their safety, mobility, and recovery. This scoping review examines the current evidence to identify research gaps and inform strategies to improve evacuation outcomes and long-term resilience for these at-risk groups. Four key areas of concern were identified: (1) immediate transportation barriers during evacuation, (2) prolonged transportation disruptions post-disaster, (3) anticipated logistical challenges in future evacuation planning, and (4) inconsistent and inaccessible communication of transportation-related information during emergencies. These challenges intersected with all five STEPS dimensions. Transportation barriers remain a persistent and under-addressed risk factor in disaster contexts for vulnerable groups. The STEPS framework helped reveal the multidimensional nature of these issues, emphasizing the need for integrated planning, assistive transport options, inclusive communication systems, and stronger public–private coordination.

policy brief

Affordable Carsharing in Urban Contexts: Lessons from Richmond’s Pilot Program

Abstract

In the US, access to a personal vehicle is often essential for getting to work, school, healthcare services, shopping, and other daily needs. To expand mobility options and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, several states have launched publicly supported electric vehicle (EV) carsharing pilot programs. These programs aim to provide affordable, low-carbon transportation options to households that cannot afford to own a vehicle.
Míocar, a nonprofit carsharing service, has implemented successful pilots in rural and suburban communities in California’s San Joaquin Valley. In 2022, it expanded its service to the urban environment of Richmond, California by coordinating with the City of Richmond to implement a total of six carshare hubs, three of which are still operational as of 2025. The research team studied the Richmond pilot service using member surveys, vehicle use data, and interviews with Míocar staff to understand how well the model translated to a denser urban setting and what lessons could guide future deployments.

policy brief

How Amenities Can Improve the Business Case for Fast Charging Infrastructure

Abstract

Public DC fast charging infrastructure is expanding across California and remains supported by public funding. Many charging stations face challenges becoming financially sustainable, and some are located in areas that lack the amenities drivers want while they wait for their vehicles to charge. As California continues to invest in charging infrastructure to support EV adoption, understanding what drivers do while at fast chargers, and whether they visit and spend money in nearby businesses, can help inform decisions about infrastructure deployment and could improve the business case for DCFC. To better understand EV drivers’ activities at DC fast chargers, the research team surveyed 3,350 EV drivers in California. The survey examined what drivers do while charging, what they spend money on during charging sessions and how much, which amenities they prefer to have nearby, and how they describe their overall charging experience.

policy brief

Investigating Unmet and Difficult Travel in Underserved Communities in California

Abstract

Residents of disadvantaged, low-income, rural, and tribal communities—collectively referred to as underserved communities—often face transportation barriers resulting from decades of car-oriented planning. This has left lower-cost modes such as public transit, walking, and cycling unsafe or unavailable, resulting in widespread travel difficulties and unmet mobility needs that are challenging to measure. To understand how people are navigating these challenges, the research team surveyed 2,892 residents from underserved communities in California. Centering the experiences of people often underrepresented in travel behavior surveys, this study provides insights into the main factors linked to difficult or unmet travel, how people adapt to these challenges, and the barriers they face. The findings provide evidence to inform the design of equitable transportation solutions that can improve mobility and access for California’s Priority Populations—groups that are State priorities for investments in improving health, air quality, and access to economic opportunities.