research report

Understanding Post-Pandemic Travel Behavior Patterns and Trends in California

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic fundamentally reshaped global mobility, forcing a departure from previous travel norms. In California, initial declines in public transit and ride-hailing were accompanied by a surge in private vehicle interest and shifts to active travel. To assess whether spatial and temporal travel patterns shifted between 2019 and 2023, this study analyzed Performance Measurement System freeway data, regional transit boarding records, and spatial econometric modeling of Streetlight Insight data. The findings reveal a near-recovery of weekday freeway volumes and stable weekend patterns, yet an uneven transit recovery that favors buses over rail and weekends over weekdays. There was significant spatial dependence in active transportation; while the primary factors influencing walking and cycling remain consistent, their relative magnitudes have shifted. Ultimately, Californians’ choices of transportation modes are different after the pandemic than they were before it. Integrating these altered patterns into current planning frameworks is essential for developing resilient, equitable, and sustainable transportation policies.

research report

Zero-Emission Vehicle Transition in California’s Construction Industry

Publication Date

June 1, 2026

Author(s)

Shakib Kafashan, Jean-Daniel Saphores

Abstract

Although construction equipment generates 2% to 3% of total GHG emissions in California, the construction sector lags behind other industries for decarbonization, primarily due to the systemic challenges of delivering high-capacity electric power to temporary and remote jobsites. This study investigates the primary infrastructure, regulatory, and economic barriers to construction site electrification while exploring technological and policy solutions. Using a multi-faceted approach, the research conducted a literature review, interviewed California Electric Load-Serving Entities, and analyzed emerging mobile charging technologies. Findings indicate that utility support varies by institutional model; municipal utilities often manage requests more efficiently than larger investor-owned utilities, which face complex regulatory hurdles. Key obstacles include local grid capacity limitations, long lead times and high costs for distribution upgrades, and high capital costs for electric machinery. Since the immediate benefits of electrification—the elimination of tailpipe emissions and significant noise reduction—are most impactful in densely populated urban areas, electrification should be prioritized in these areas with quiet zones and low-emission construction zones coupled with subsidies to absorb the cost of bringing electric infrastructure to these sites. Alternative power solutions such as mobile battery energy storage systems (BESSs), hydrogen fuel cell generators, and solar-powered units could help other construction sites. A successful transition requires a coordinated framework involving streamlined permitting, technical guidance for emerging infrastructure, and targeted financial support to lower costs and improve local air quality.

research report

The Revival of Cargo E-Bikes in the United States: Challenges and Recommendations

Abstract

Cargo e-bikes are emerging as a promising solution for sustainable urban freight delivery, offering advantages over conventional van-based systems in emissions reduction, congestion mitigation, and operational flexibility. This white paper examines the current state of cargo e-bike deployment in the United States, identifies key barriers to adoption, and provides evidence-based recommendations for policymakers and urban planners. Despite a rapidly growing global market—with projected annual growth of 11–15% through 2034—cargo e-bike deployment faces three interconnected challenges: infrastructure gaps (microhub locations, bicycle network coverage, and parking); regulatory inconsistenciesacross jurisdictions regarding vehicle specifications and permitted infrastructure use; and operational challenges including higher upfront costs and battery-related concerns. To overcome these barriers, this report recommends that cities establish microhub networks, expand bicycle infrastructure, ensure adequate parking with charging capabilities,develop consistent regulatory frameworks, and implement financial incentives and pilot programs. Coordinated action across these domains can enable cargo e-bikes to realize their potential as transformative elements of sustainable urban logistics.

research report

E-shopping Meets Electrified Self-driving: Impacts on the Number, Size, and Locations of Warehouses & Distribution Centers

Abstract

This study shows that as freight transportation costs decline due to autonomous driving technology and online shopping increases, warehousing becomes more consolidated, the number and size of distribution centers increase, drayage truck mileage is reduced but delivery truck mileage increases, leading to a net mileage increase.

policy brief

Transportation System Performance: Should We Redefine Induced Demand?

Abstract

In Walkable City, Jeff Speck says that induced demand is the thing that everyone in city planning understands but doesn’t talk about. It may be more accurate to categorize induced demand as the thing that everyone in city planning talks about but doesn’t understand. The issue is muddied by inconsistent definitions of relevant terminology.

This brief explores the various dimensions of induced demand. It is suggested that the term induced demand be used only when referring to the number of trips produced, and that it should not be used when referring to the other characteristics of these trips, such as destination, mode, time-of-day, or path.

policy brief

Free Transit Helps Students—But Car Access, Transit Quality, and Perceptions Still Shape Who Benefits

Abstract

Fare-free transit programs are increasingly used to increase ridership and reduce household transportation costs, especially for lower-income households. In California, where fewer than ten percent of school trips are made on school buses and many students travel long distances to reach school, transit costs and access can pose real barriers to education and after school opportunities. At the same time, fare-free programs require substantial and ongoing public investment, raising important questions about whether eliminating fares alone is enough to meaningfully change student travel behavior.

In October 2021, LA Metro—the largest transit agency in Los Angeles County—launched the GoPass pilot program in partnership with other transit operators and multiple school districts, providing free transit passes to K-14 students. To better understand how GoPass influences student travel, who participates, and why, the research team examined student travel behavior, perceptions, and program participation across two complementary studies. One focused on Los Angeles Community College District (LACCD), including a survey of 1,800 LACCD students, while the other focused on high school students in a predominantly low-income school district.

policy brief

Mobility Wallets Expand Opportunity and Quality of Life for Low-Income Travelers

Abstract

Transportation costs place a disproportionate financial burden on low-income households. Families in the lowest income quintile spend roughly 32 percent of their household income on transportation, which combined with housing costs, can consume nearly all their available budget. Transit affordability is typically addressed by providing discounted public transit fares. But transit alone cannot meet every trip need, and without access to a car or other affordable alternatives low-income travelers may forgo trips — reducing social connections, limiting employment opportunities, and eroding their well-being. To address this gap, Los Angeles’ Mobility Wallet Pilot Program, administered by LA Metro and the Los Angeles Department of Transportation, provided 1,000 low-income residents in South Los Angeles $150 per month on a prepaid card. The card could be used across a range of shared transportation modes, including public transit, ridehail, carshare, bikes, scooters, and regional bus or rail. The research team interviewed 31 program participants before, during, and after the one-year pilot to understand changes in their travel patterns and the ongoing transportation challenges they face.

white paper

A Review of Pricing Strategies for Decarbonizing Transportation

Abstract

California’s ability to achieve its climate and mobility goals depends on addressing the growing gap between transportation infrastructure needs and the declining effectiveness of traditional fuel tax revenues. As electric vehicle adoption rises, fuel efficiency improves, and demands for resilient, multimodal systems expand, new approaches to transportation funding and demand management are required. This paper examines a range of mobility pricing strategies—including tolling, managed lanes, congestion charges, vehicle-based fees and feebates, distance-based user charges, and parking pricing—to evaluate their potential for enhancing financial sustainability, reducing congestion, and internalizing the environmental and social costs of driving. Particular attention is given to dynamic pricing, which can flexibly manage demand for both road and parking space, and to distance-based charges that offer a more equitable and efficient alternative to fuel taxes. The analysis highlights the importance of revenue allocation to ensure that pricing strategies not only generate funds but also support equitable investments in sustainable mobility options. While some approaches are well established, others require pilot testing and policy innovation. Given its policy leadership and commitment to climate action, California is well positioned to advance and integrate these strategies, shaping a comprehensive pricing framework that strengthens the state’s fiscal resilience while promoting a cleaner, more efficient, and more equitable transportation system.

Icon for peer review journal article preprint

preprint journal article

No Car, No Choice: Transportation Resources and School Choice in California

Abstract

School choice offers families an opportunity for children to attend schools other than those they are zoned to by residential location. Most families live beyond walking distance to choice schools, so vehicular transportation is needed to attend. Yet, most choice programs have not been designed with such access in mind, and most school bus programs are designed only for neighborhood schools. Such diminished access for children in households without cars presents an equity issue. This study examines the relationship between household transportation resources—automobiles, transit, and walkability—and the likelihood that children attend a choice school. The research team matches data from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey California Add-On with school characteristics to identify the school each respondent ages 5–17 attends and the school to which school districts zoned them. The team then fit a model that predicts choice of school type: neighborhood zone public, choice public, or private. Controlling for student, household, transportation, neighborhood, and assigned zone school characteristics, a student in a household with at least one vehicle had more than double the predicted probability of attending a choice public school compared with a student in a zero-vehicle household. The difference in predicted probabilities grew for students who were low-income, non-white, or zoned to low-performing schools. Living in neighborhoods with high-quality public transit access or high walkability did not affect the probabilities. These findings underscore the importance of transportation resources in enabling families to send their children to schools that best fit their needs.

policy brief

Revitalizing Downtowns May Help Transit Recovery—But It Won’t Be Enough

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated hybrid and remote work and online shopping. These changes caused a sharp decline in activity and transit use in downtowns across California, particularly in transit-oriented downtowns that account for a large share of statewide ridership. This decline has major implications for climate commitments, equity, and the economy. Public officials and business leaders are pursuing a range of strategies to revitalize downtowns and support transit recovery. However, transit ridership has still not returned to pre-pandemic levels. To support recovery efforts, this research analyzed which measures are most likely to generate substantial and lasting ridership gains in downtowns, focusing on five downtowns in the San Francisco Bay Area—San Francisco, Oakland, Berkeley, San Jose, and Walnut Creek. For each downtown, the research team examined ridership data before and after the pandemic, reviewed how transit agencies responded in terms of adjusting service or other actions, and consulted revitalization plans by cities and business improvement districts. The research team also conducted surveys and interviews with transit riders and city leaders.