research report

Health and Evacuation Challenges for Transit Riders During the 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires

Abstract

Wildfires pose threats to health due to exposure to wildfire smoke and other toxic debris. Those who rely on public transit are potentially more exposed to these threats, yet little is known about how transit riders navigate this increased exposure amid evacuation and displacement. In this study the research team examines the exposures of transit riders during a fast-moving wildfire emergency, the 2025 Los Angeles wildfires. The team conducted a mixed methods study of transit riders, drawing from a survey and semi-structured interviews of riders sampled from Transit, a widely used real-time bus tracking app for transit riders. Preliminary findings show that during the wildfire, many transit riders relied on informal rides, public transit, or walking to evacuate, leading to longer evacuation times and heightened exposure to smoke. Survey-linked air quality data revealed that nearly half of Black and Latino respondents experienced “unhealthy” PM2.5 concentrations at their homes on peak smoke days, a burden echoed in widespread reports of respiratory and mental health impacts. Riders adopted protective strategies such as wearing masks and avoiding transit when possible, but those without cars faced limited options. These results underscore the need for transportation planners and emergency managers to design evacuation and communication strategies that explicitly support transit-reliant and car-less households.

policy brief

Transportation Network Companies Could Be a Cost Effective Alternative to Microtransit in Low-Density Communities

Abstract

Many suburban and rural communities struggle to provide affordable, efficient public transit. Some have replaced underused fixed-route, fixed-schedule public transit with on-demand, door-to-door microtransit services. In some cases, microtransit has provided better service, though it’s only economical when most trips serve multiple riders. In low-demand areas, limited ride consolidation drives costs sharply upward– often exceeding $50 per rider trip. Transportation Network Companies (TNCs), like Uber and Lyft, could help fill this gap. They already provide door-to-door service with extensive driver networks and low overhead. Yet most public-private pilot programs using TNCs to supplement or replace traditional transit have failed to last beyond their initial funding periods.

policy brief

Mitigating VMT from Highway Expansion Projects: Early Insights from California

Abstract

The California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) requires lead agencies to evaluate the environmental impacts of major projects, including highway expansion projects, and to mitigate those impacts to the extent feasible. In 2013, SB 743 (Steinberg) changed how transportation impacts are evaluated by shifting the performance measure from traffic delay to vehicle miles traveled (VMT), a measure of total driving. This change reflected evidence that the metric of VMT captures the influence that transportation projects have on driving behavior and its related environmental and social impacts, such as greenhouse gas emissions, air pollution, safety, and public health.

How have lead agencies implemented the requirement to analyze and mitigate VMT induced by highway expansion projects? To better understand how SB 743 has affected highway expansion projects in practice, the team reviewed state regulation and guidance and evaluated the Environmental Impact Reports (EIRs) for the six highway expansion projects that have started the environmental review process since the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) adopted guidance in 2020 to implement SB 743. In this brief, the research team focuses on how lead agencies propose to mitigate any increases in VMT from each of the six highway expansion projects, including the measures proposed, the extent to which mitigation reduces VMT, the cost associated with mitigation, and sources of funding for VMT mitigation.

research report

Co-Location of Light-Duty and Heavy-Duty Zero-Emission Vehicle Infrastructure to Promote a Resilient Fueling Network in California

Abstract

This study examines whether co-locating stations for light-duty zero emission vehicles (ZEVs) with stations for heavy-duty ZEVs would increase network coverage and improve resiliency to help California achieve its targets for widespread ZEV adoption. The study separately models of siting light-and heavy-duty at the same locations vs. separate locations for (i) electric charging stations and (ii) hydrogen refueling stations. The results indicate electric charging stations in California are being used at only 13% of total capacity. Building out and optimizing the locations of light-duty electric vehicle stations will results in greater demand met and resiliency than will co-locating these at heavy-duty charging stations. On the other hand, co-location of hydrogen refueling stations for light duty vehicles at sites for heavy-duty vehicle stations may increase demand met, network resiliency, and adoption rates of light-and heavy-duty fuel cell electric vehicles. These adoption rates are constrained by the current infrastructure.

research report

Mapping the Potential of Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles Across Transportation Sectors in California

Abstract

This report develops a transportation hydrogen roadmap for California projected to 2045, building on previous UC ITS work, partly in cooperation with the ARCHES hydrogen hub for analysis of trucks, ports, and aviation. This study adds these modes as well as rail systems and fuel-cell light-duty vehicles, to provide a comprehensive transportation sector map of potential hydrogen use. The report focuses on a scenario of high adoption of hydrogen-fueled transport, where the modes and sectors covered would use 1000 tonnes/day of hydrogen by 2035 and 5000 tonnes/day by 2045. To 2035, about 40% of the expected growth occurs in heavy-duty trucking. Another 20% is used by other truck types, 20% by light-duty vehicles, and 20% by other modes, notably shipping and aviation. These shares remain similar out to 2045. Trucking remains the dominant driver of hydrogen demand throughout the projection period. Shipping, aviation, and rail are not expected to account for an increasing share of demand in these scenarios. The study includes a jobs analysis, led by UCLA, that estimates that the hydrogen fuel system would support around 6,000 jobs per year. Hydrogen vehicle adoption will depend on strong policy support, coordination of planning and investments, and rapid scale-up for the system to be self-sustaining, using many hundreds of tonnes per day by 2040.

white paper

Reviving public transit ridership to downtowns and employment centers: Case Studies of San Francisco, San Jose, Oakland, Berkeley, and Walnut Creek

Abstract

This paper examines transit ridership and its role in downtowns in five San Francisco Bay Area cities pre-and post-COVID. The research analyzes transit ridership data from 2019 and 2022-24, review transit agency responses to COVID’s consequences, and examine the plans and proposals for downtowns adopted by the cities and those developed by business improvement districts (BIDs). The research draws upon focus groups that the research held with transit users and interviews that were conducted with key stakeholders to gain additional information and insights. The research finds that trips to, from and within our five case study downtowns account for a significant share of overall regional transit ridership, a finding that underscores downtown transit’s importance to state and regional goals for greenhouse gas reduction, pollution abatement, economic prosperity, and equity and inclusion. For the five downtowns, transit ridership is on a path to recovery but as of early 2024 was still falling short of pre-COVID levels, leaving transit agencies facing financial shortfalls despite service adjustments and other cost-cutting measures. The downtowns with concentrations of employment that generally depend on face to face contact (healthcare, education), are faring better than those where working remotely suffices and this appears to be largely independent of the workers’ income levels. For general offices, the longer transit trips that rail services provide have not recovered as quickly as shorter bus trips. Downtown plans for the five cities assume transit will be available and used, but have not been updated to deal with changed conditions. The case studies’ city officials and business leaders have proposed additional housing, sports events, and frequent festivals and farmers markets as ways to invigorate downtowns. While these strategies could lead to more transit use, they are unlikely to make up for the losses in office worker transit use, a consequence of increased working at home or in a hybrid home-office mode. Since recovery to previous levels may take several more years, finding ways to support transit in the meantime will be important.

published journal article

Improving Evacuation and Resilience Strategies for Older Adults During and After Wildfires: A Systemic Review

Abstract

Background and Aim: Natural hazard-related disasters such as wildfires, hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods pose significant risks to older adults, individuals with disabilities, and those with chronic health conditions. Transportation-related challenges during and after evacuation can severely impact their safety, mobility, and recovery. This scoping review examines the current evidence to identify research gaps and inform strategies to improve evacuation outcomes and long-term resilience for these at-risk groups. The STEPS framework (Spatial, Temporal, Economic, Physiological, Social) was applied to guide the analysis and interpretation of findings. Methods: This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines and searched five databases, including PubMed, APA PsycINFO, CINAHL Complete, EMBASE, and Web of Science for primary studies on transportation and disaster evacuation among vulnerable populations. Results: Twenty studies were included. Four key areas of concern were identified: (1) immediate transportation barriers during evacuation, (2) prolonged transportation disruptions post-disaster, (3) anticipated logistical challenges in future evacuation planning, and (4) inconsistent and inaccessible communication of transportation-related information during emergencies. These challenges intersected with all five STEPS dimensions. Conclusions: Transportation barriers remain a persistent and under-addressed risk factor in disaster contexts for vulnerable groups. The STEPS framework helped reveal the multidimensional nature of these issues, emphasizing the need for integrated planning, assistive transport options, inclusive communication systems, and stronger public–private coordination. Future research should focus on collecting disaggregated data, evaluating interventions, and supporting inclusive policy reforms tailored to each type of disaster.

research report

Customer-Oriented Open Data for Accessible Transit: A Case Study in Contra Costa County

Abstract

This report presents a set of proposed open data specifications for the development of an Operational Data Portal (ODP) to support customer-oriented “smart” apps for travelers with special needs, particularly seniors and people with disabilities, in Contra Costa County. The ODP would aggregate and organize data from various mobility service providers, individual riders, and community organizations to be accessed by software developers of digital trip planners, trip booking and scheduling services, passenger feedback mechanisms, and service performance evaluation tools. The report concludes that the establishment of an open data platform along with supporting applications will improve the rider experience and facilitate operating efficiency and coordination among accessible transit providers. It recommends further research to align the proposed data specifications with emerging transportation data standards, enhance the integration of unstructured data, and develop inclusive systems for customers with limited access to smart devices.

policy brief

Wildfire Recovery and Resilience Strategies for Resource-Constrained and Vulnerable Communities

Abstract

Wildfires disproportionately impact vulnerable communities, such as low-income families, older adults, people with disabilities, and rural residents. Wildfires not only cause direct destruction, but also intensify existing social inequities (Davies et al., 2018). The primary challenges these groups face lie in inadequate transportation resources to carry out evacuations, non-resilient infrastructure, and inequitable allocations of recovery resources. This brief synthesizes news reports, academic research, and practical case studies and recommends three priority strategies to support efforts to recover from the recent wildfires in Los Angeles County: 1) developing an inclusive evacuation system, 2) allocating resources for community recovery in a fair and equitable manner, and 3) building resilient community transportation systems for the future. These strategies can reduce social inequalities in disaster response and recovery.

published journal article

Transportation Challenges of Low-Income Households with Children: A Case Study in South Los Angeles

Publication Date

February 26, 2026

Author(s)

Tamika Butler, Madeline Wander, Madeline Brozen, Evelyn Blumenberg

Abstract

Low-income households commonly lack access to quality and affordable transportation options, impeding their access to opportunities. Low-income households with children face additional challenges. The research draws on data from thirty-nine in-depth interviews to examine the effect of children on the travel behavior and experience of low-income adults. The research finds that low-income households with children experience increased financial and temporal burdens related to travel. These unique and complex challenges result in fewer socioeconomic opportunities and financial resources and reduced time for non-travel activities. The findings underscore the importance of programs and policies to develop a multimodal, affordable transportation safety net.