preprint journal article

Provably Safe and Human-Like Car-Following Behaviors: Part 1. Analysis of Phases and Dynamics in Standard Models

Abstract

Trajectory planning is essential for ensuring safe driving in the face of uncertainties related to communication, sensing, and dynamic factors such as weather, road conditions, policies, and other road users. Existing car-following models often lack rigorous safety proofs and the ability to replicate human-like driving behaviors consistently. This article applies multi-phase dynamical systems analysis to well-known car-following models to highlight the characteristics and limitations of existing approaches. It begins by formulating fundamental principles for safe and human-like car-following behaviors, which include zeroth-order principles for comfort and minimum jam spacings, first-order principles for speeds and time gaps, and second-order principles for comfort acceleration/deceleration bounds as well as braking profiles. From a set of these zeroth- and first-order principles, it derives Newell’s simplified car-following model. Subsequently, the study analyzes phases within the speed-spacing plane for the stationary lead-vehicle problem in Newell’s model and its extensions, which incorporate both bounded acceleration and deceleration. It then analyzes the performance of the Intelligent Driver Model and the Gipps model. Through this analysis, the study highlights the limitations of these models with respect to some of the aforementioned principles. Numerical simulations and empirical observations validate the theoretical insights. Finally, it discuss future research directions to further integrate safety, human-like behaviors, and vehicular automation in car-following models, which are addressed in Part 2 of this study, where it develops a novel multi-phase projection-based car-following model that addresses the limitations identified there.

policy brief

Opportunities to Improve Patient Transportation Access: Piloting a Transportation Resource Fair at the Saban Community Clinic

Abstract

People who need health care services but do not have access to an automobile are more likely to experience challenges getting to health care appointments. A lack of transportation is a problem for patients and healthcare providers. Healthcare providers and patients would benefit from transportation improvements but cannot make systematic transportation changes. Therefore, healthcare clinics are looking for strategic opportunities to help their patients address transportation needs, and we partnered with the Saban Community Clinic (SCC) in Los Angeles to find ways to support their patients’ transportation needs. Most patients have public insurance through Medi-Cal, and a third are uninsured. In 2022, UCLA partnered with the Saban Community Clinic to better understand their patients’ transportation challenges and determine what strategic transportation efforts the clinic could consider. This project found that many patients travel
long distances from South Los Angeles to clinic locations.

published journal article

Investigating Travel Demand Heterogeneity During and After the Pandemic in the Northern California Megaregion: A Data-Driven Analysis of Origin-Destination Structural Patterns

Abstract

The study delves into the complexities of travel disruption and recovery during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a data-driven methodology, we explore spatial-temporal patterns across regions by times of the day, weekdays/weekends, and trip purposes. Using passively collected location-based data from January 2019 to October 2021 in the Northern California Megaregion, our analysis compares travel patterns through the structural similarity of origin-destination (OD) matrices. Introducing the concept of a “local sliding geographical window” based on natural trip flow, the study identifies various impacts of the pandemic on travel demand including but not limited to (a) trip volume and recovery (e.g., weekday trips dropped by 47% in April 2020, gradually recovering already by October 2021); (b) impact on home-based work and other trips which were significantly disrupted on weekdays compared with non-home-based; (c) OD pattern changes (e.g., all sub-regions experienced significant changes, but the San Francisco Bay area faced the maximum disruptions); (d) gradual recovery with regional variations (e.g., San Francisco lagged in its travel activity recovery but this improved after April 2021, whereas the Northern San Joaquin Valley recovered fastest); (e) disruption and recovery linked to socioeconomic factors (e.g., parts of San Francisco, characterized by higher income, white-collar jobs, faced maximum disruption, whereas the Northern San Joaquin Valley, with a higher proportion of blue-collar workers, experienced the least disruption); and (f) differential recovery rates across and within regions, with areas rich in white-collar jobs showing slower recovery for work trips compared with areas with a higher proportion of blue-collar jobs.

research report

Assessing and Improving the Equity Impacts of California High-Speed Rail

Abstract

This study assesses the impact of high-speed rail on accessibility to employment and educational opportunities for the census tracts in the California Central Valley. The accessibility is assessed for driving only mode and transit only mode for the baseline scenario and driving plus HSR mode and transit plus HSR mode for the scenario after HSR start operation. The study plots the accessibility distribution for census tracts and calculate the spatial equality index of accessibility distribution to compare the accessibility before and after HSR starts operation, as well as the accessibility for communities of concern (CoCs). The findings include multiple aspects. Most importantly, it finds that HSR yields the greatest accessibility gains to the most vulnerable communities, which we term CoC Level 2 and Level 3 communities. This improvement is attained for both employment and education accessibility, and whether HSR access/egress is by driving or transit. Second, it is also the case that vulnerable communities have higher baseline accessibilities as a result of being located in urban areas. Third, HSR accessibility gains are restricted to higher travel time thresholds, generally 60 min or greater. Fourth, driving mode has consistently higher accessibility as well as accessibility improvement due to HSR than transit mode. Fifth, while the accessibility improvement brought by HSR is highly spatially uneven, HSR slightly equalizes the distribution of accessibility across census tracts under the driving + HSR scenario.

published journal article

Teleworkers and Physical Commuters During the COVID-19 Pandemic: the Change in Mobility Related Attitudes and the Intention to Telecommute in the Future

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted commuting habits, with many individuals shifting to telecommuting. This study examines the impact of disrupted commuting habits on psychological constructs, such as attitudes or active lifestyle. Using longitudinal survey data from the California panel study of emerging transportation, the study compares two groups (those who started telecommuting, N = 458, and those who continued physically commuting, N = 523) at two points (early pandemic 2020 and later pandemic 2021). Exploratory factor analysis was used to extract the latent psychological constructs and structural equation modeling was used to model the intention to telecommute in the future for each year. Results show that some psychological constructs (such as attitude toward sustainable modes) remain stable across groups and time, while others (such as concern about pathogens) depend on both group and stage of the pandemic. The intention to telecommute in the future remains high and is mainly dependent on individuals’ attitude toward it and their tech-savviness, rather than on a concern about pathogens or demographics. The findings may inform policies that promote sustainable and flexible mobility options, like telecommuting, that have the potential to enhance work-life balance in a post-pandemic world.

preprint journal article

Estimating the Electricity System Benefits of Scaling up E-Bike Usage in California

policy brief

Charging-as-a-Service is an Innovative Business Model that Could Help with California’s Vehicle Electrification Goals

Abstract

Access to electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure is critical to advancing California’s EV adoption goals. The California Energy Commission has projected the state needs “nearly 1.2 million” chargers by 2030 “to meet the fueling demands of 7.5 million passenger plug-in electric vehicles.” Currently, California has about 152,000 publicly available EV chargers.

Innovative asset ownership models, like charging-as-a-service (CaaS), could help overcome some of the barriers to deploying and maintaining charging infrastructure. For example, CaaS providers could procure, install, maintain, and replace charging equipment for subscription customers. To better understand how CaaS solutions could expand EV use and charging access, this researchers conducted semi-structured interviews with 13 CaaS companies, electric utilities, and customers to identify the perceptions, challenges, and opportunities of the CaaS business model in addressing charging station needs in California.

policy brief

California’s High-Speed Rail Yields the Greatest Accessibility Gains to the Most Vulnerable Communities

Abstract

A major criticism of California’s high-speed rail project is that it will mainly serve urban elites and that low-income people and people of color likely won’t be able to afford the fares. Also, the project may benefit the middle-income group the least since the proposed station locations, usually in or near city centers, will probably serve high- and low-income populations better than middle-income families. Besides these arguments, however, there are very few studies that have analyzed the equity impacts of California’s high-speed rail project. Current studies have either focused on benefits to California residents as a whole with little consideration to the specific opportunities for how high- speed rail will improve the lives of marginalized groups; or only studied the disproportionate adverse impacts received by marginalized groups.