Factors Affecting Development Decisions and Construction Delay of Housing in Transit-Accessible and Jobs-Rich Areas in California

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

September 1, 2020 - August 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Jae Hong Kim, Douglas Houston, Moira O’Neill, Eric Biber, Douglas Houston, Sarah Lindbergh, Narae Lee, Giulia Gualco-Nelson

Campus(es)

UC Irvine

Project Summary

Recent state legislation has attempted to address California’s housing affordability crisis by encouraging new development in transit-accessible and/or jobs-rich areas. But policymakers lack adequate information in two key areas: the effects of transportation laws and plans on the decisions of developers regarding whether and where to build housing; and the determinants of delays in approvals for proposed projects in jobs-rich and transit-accessible areas. Drawing on a unique dataset detailing all residential projects of five units or more that were approved from 2014 through 2017 in seven Southern California jurisdictions, this project will analyze the extent to which transportation policies, rules, plans, and investments influence the location of new housing and delay the construction of new housing. Using descriptive statistics and multivariate modeling, the research team will examine developers’ decisions concerning whether and where to build housing, identifying how project-level attributes and contextual variables, including those related to transportation, affect decisions about whether and where to build infill projects in jobs-rich and transit-rich locations. This work will also include a systematic comparison of permitting timelines for otherwise comparable projects with different degrees of transit availability or job accessibility, along with multivariate modeling to assess the determinants of delay.

Micromobility Trip Characteristics, Transit Connections, and COVID-19 Effects

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

July 1, 2020 - September 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Project Summary

While micromobility services (e.g., bike share, e-bike share, e-scooter share) hold great potential for providing clean travel, estimating the effects of those services on vehicle miles traveled and reducing greenhouse gases is challenging. Government agencies are just beginning to discuss ways to incentivize micromobility services to achieve these goals. California has taken one step in this direction through the SB 1014 (2018) Clean Miles Standard and Incentive Program. With this law, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) wants to better understand the characteristics of micromobility systems to help set regulations for Transportation Network Companies (TNC) to reduce emissions. This project proposes to help inform CARB’s regulations by summarizing micromobility trip characteristics using an archive of “big data” from the General Bikeshare Feed Specification data (in 28 North American cities) pre-, during-, and post-COVID-19, estimate micromobility mode substitution from existing survey data and a literature review, and estimate the effects of micromobility on transit ridership. The project results are expected to directly influence CARB’s regulations of TNCs, but will also be pertinent for future state and local incentives and regulations of micromobility services.

research report

Stockton’s Crosstown Freeway, Urban Renewal, and Asian Americans: Systemic Causes and Impacts

Abstract

This project uses mixed methods to examine the systemic causes and consequences of the construction of Stockton, California’s Crosstown Freeway, and urban redevelopment for Asian American communities. Stockton underwent spatial restructuring in the decades after the Second World War, and state and local governments contributed and responded to these changes by implementing connected freeway and urban renewal programs. Historical and contemporaneous xenophobia and racism placed Chinatown, Japantown, and Little Manila in their path, with these enclaves deemed blighted and subject to “slum clearance.” The choice of freeway route was racially biased. The neighborhood surrounding an unchosen route was predominantly white, whereas that of the chosen route was predominantly home to people of color. Freeway construction during the 1960s and 1970s directly displaced hundreds of people and housing units downtown— mainly people of color, particularly Asians. The communities most harmed were the Asian American enclaves, where the housing stock declined by about three-quarters between 1960 and 1970. The losses were not only physical, as the freeway and redevelopment eviscerated once vibrant ethnic commercial hubs. Because of long-standing economic and political marginalization, Asian Americans were relatively powerless to prevent the destruction; nonetheless, they fought to build affordable housing for their people, protect and in some cases relocate cultural institutions, and support surviving ethnic businesses. In the long run, Stockton failed to revitalize its downtown, while destroying its cultural diversity. The findings can help reform and improve professional practice within the transportation arena to ensure racial fairness and equity.

A Quantitative Investigation into the Impact of Partially Automated Vehicles on Vehicle Miles Travelled in California

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

October 1, 2019 - December 31, 2020

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Gil Tal, Debapriya Chakraborty

Project Summary

Current research on vehicle automation is primarily focused on fully autonomous vehicles, however semi-autonomous vehicles are already available on the market. These vehicles will have an impact on drivers’ travel patterns due to changes in the utility of driving (e.g. reduced driver fatigue, increased ability to multitask). These vehicles have the potential to change travel patterns and could lead to increases in vehicle miles travelled (VMT). This may have negative consequences for road networks and the environment. This project will be the first to investigate what impact these vehicles are already having on travel behavior. In depth interviews with owners of semi-autonomous vehicles will be conducted to gain a better understanding of how and if these vehicles are resulting in more VMT. The interviews will explore any changes to driver’s travel patterns including their willingness to drive, and willingness to drive longer distances. The interviews will focus on driver’s commute distances and will explore whether having a semi-autonomous or autonomous vehicle has or would lead to drivers being willing to travel longer commute distances (e.g., by moving home location or work location).

Investigating Opportunities to Mobilize Community Associations to Promote Sustainable Transportation and Land Use

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

September 25, 2023 - January 31, 2025

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Campus(es)

UC Irvine

Project Summary

In recent decades, common-interest housing developments have become prevalent in many American cities. According to the Community Associations Institute’s 2021 estimates, nearly 30% of the U.S. population now lives in a development or area governed by a community association, with homeowners associations being the most common type. Despite the widespread presence of homeowners associations (HOAs), there has been limited research on how they impact the adoption of new mobility technologies, innovative urban neighborhood designs, and sustainable land use and transportation initiatives. HOAs and similar community governing bodies have the authority to impose additional restrictions on community activities, which has often led to them being perceived as obstacles to achieving a more environmentally friendly and inclusive future. While this perception is grounded in reality, it doesn’t fully account for the significant variation in how HOAs operate. This perspective also hinders innovative thinking about how HOAs could contribute to creating more sustainable communities. Exploring ways to engage these influential entities in pursuing various planning objectives is crucial.

This project will improve the collective understanding of how HOAs and other community associations impact sustainable land use and transportation. The researchers will achieve this by: i) creating an integrated geospatial database that includes information about HOAs, land uses (including Accessory Dwelling Units, or ADUs), and transportation indicators, ii) investigating the relationship between the presence or absence of HOAs and factors such as ADU construction, travel patterns, and the built environment, and iii) identifying best practices and extracting lessons from successful cases.

published journal article

A Case for Race and Space in Auto Ownership Modeling: A Los Angeles County Study

Abstract

Auto ownership behavior is driven by complex relationships that can vary dramatically across different traveler groups and communities. Differences in auto ownership among racial groups have been of particular interest, given ongoing efforts to advance equity in transportation outcomes. There are a number of studies documenting racial disparities in auto ownership associated with racial and ethnic residential clustering, termed “automobile mismatch.” Yet, these differences in auto ownership behavior by race and residential location are virtually never considered in models of travel behavior, despite calls for the consideration for race in transportation planning and decision making. This study aims to bridge the gap between understandings of the connections between race and space and transportation outcomes, using Los Angeles County as a case study. A series of auto ownership model specifications are used to investigate statistical connections between the racial and ethnic categories of residents, and neighborhoods, revealing systematic variations across racial and spatial dimensions. The composite model, which includes racial and spatial indicators, outperforms the base model, suggesting that the inclusion of race and space explains significantly more information on variations in auto ownership and provides a superior fit to the data. Our findings also suggest that the exclusion of racial and spatial indicators may lead to overestimation of certain effects, and may completely misrepresent the importance of certain household, individual-level, and built environment effects in explaining auto ownership preferences. Given the increasing attention to equity and representation in transportation outcomes, models that exclude considerations for race and space may be poorly positioned to support meaningful transportation equity analyses.

published journal article

Can Governments Streamline Environmental Impact Analysis to Promote Transit Oriented Development? Evidence from California

Publication Date

March 1, 2025

Author(s)

Bailey Affolter, Jamey Volker, Nicholas Marantz, Susan Pike, Graham DeLeon

Abstract

California’s seminal Sustainable Communities and Climate Protection Act of 2008—Senate Bill (SB) 375—includes two provisions specifically intended to help streamline transit-oriented development (TOD) projects through environmental review (California SB 375, 2008). One provision exempts qualifying TODs from environmental review entirely. The other provision streamlines environmental review for qualifying projects. This study explores the use and effect of those provisions. It first quantifies how much and where the provisions have been used. It then uses interviews and email communications with planning and development practitioners to explore why streamlining is used, whether streamlining actually helps reduce the time, cost, and uncertainty of permitting TOD projects, and how streamlining could be improved to better facilitate TOD projects. The study finds that SB 375 streamlining is a mixed bag. Neither streamlining provision has been used extensively. The full exemption appears to have been avoided because its costs and complications outweigh any streamlining benefit, though the more limited streamlining provision was regarded as having at least some utility. It also found that SB 375-streamlined projects might not be fulfilling SB 375’s more fundament goals—reducing vehicle kilometers traveled and greenhouse gas emissions. The clearest lesson for policymakers is to reduce the eligibility requirements for environmental review streamlining provisions.

policy brief

Which Pandemic-Induced Changes in Work and Commuting Are Sticking, and What Does this Mean for Public Policy?

Publication Date

April 1, 2025

Author(s)

Fariba Siddiq, Brian D. Taylor

Abstract

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, most workers were tied to fixed locations and schedules, often necessitating long, stressful commutes that researchers have linked to reduced productivity, and lower overall well-being. During the pandemic, the need for social distancing, together with ongoing advances in communication technologies, led many firms and employees to embrace remote and hybrid work arrangements. Now, in the post-pandemic era, many employees prefer these arrangement and are resisting employers’ “return-to-office” mandates. What is the state of working from home and commuting post-pandemic? This study examined this question using data from the 2022 National Household Travel Survey.

published journal article

Going Nowhere Faster: Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Accelerate the Trend Toward Staying Home?

Abstract

Covid-19 significantly altered work, out-of-home activity participation, and travel, with much activity time being moved into the home. If these patterns hold, they could imply significant long-term changes for homes, businesses, cities, and transportation. We examined data for 34,000 respondents to the American Time Use Survey from 2019 (the pre-pandemic period), 2021 (the pandemic period), and 2022 and 2023 (the post-pandemic period). We used ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions to study participation in 12 out-of-home activities, travel (by auto, transit, and walking), and 16 in-home activities. We observed sharp declines in overall out-of-home activity, travel by all modes, and 10 of the 12 specific out-of-home activities in 2021 compared with 2019, whereas time spent on 13 of the 16 in-home activities rose during that period. By 2023, most of these changes persisted: Time spent out-of-home, traveling by all modes, and on six out-of-home activities remained notably lower in 2023 than in 2019, whereas time spent on nine in-home activities remained higher. The trend away from out-of-home activities and travel appears to be persisting.

policy brief

Older Adults are Driving Later in Life, but Getting Out Less

Publication Date

March 1, 2025

Author(s)

Phoebe Chiu, Yu Hong Hwang, Fariba Siddiq, Brian D. Taylor

Abstract

Like much of the developed world, the U.S. is aging. Between 1920 and 2020, the number of people 65 and older in the U.S. grew almost five times faster than the population as a whole. Between 2000 and 2010, the 65+ population grew from 15.1 percent of the U.S. population to 16.8 percent (to 55.8 million people) between 2010 and 2020 (U.S. Census Bureau, 2020). Given this substantial growth, the mobility patterns of older travelers are consequential but have only been lightly studied post-pandemic. To address this gap, this research study analyzed data from the National Household Travel Surveys (NHTS) for 2001, 2009, 2017, and 2022 on the travel behavior of older adults in their 60s, 70s, and up compared with middle-aged and younger travelers.