policy brief

Hydrogen Can Have a Much Lower Carbon Intensity than Fossil Fuels But This Largely Depends on How It Is Produced and Distributed

Publication Date

September 23, 2022

Author(s)

Alissa Kendall, Arpad Horvath, Lewis Fulton, Pablo Busch, Stephanie Collins, Timothy Lipman

Abstract

As interest in hydrogen as an energy carrier has increased, the various ways that hydrogen is made are being categorized as “green,” “blue,” “gray,” and other colors in relation to their environmental impact. While these categorizations are somewhat useful to indicate the environmental and climate change impacts of different production pathways, they are not especially useful for policy making or industry decisionmaking purposes because they are subjective. For example, most definitions of green pathways for hydrogen production only include electrolysis from renewable electricity sources; however, Figure 1 indicates additional production pathways with some of these having near-zero or even negative greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as well as low or no other emissions of concern. To help clarify the role of hydrogen in decarbonizing California, this brief summarizes the latest scientific findings from recent and in-progress research across the University of California Institute of Transportation Studies (UC ITS) concerning the relative carbon intensity (CI) of hydrogen production pathways. It also briefly covers the availability of biomass and biogas in California that could be applied to the production of low-CI hydrogen.

presentation

California’s Hydrogen Strategy - Where Do We Go From Here?

research report

Retrospective User Survey for a Rural Electric Vehicle Carsharing Pilot in California’s Central Valley

Abstract

Rural areas in California present unique transportation challenges associated with long travel distances, infrequent transit service, the cost of car ownership, and limited access to app-based rideshare services that are common to more populated urban centers. Researchers at the University of California, Davis, partnered with the eight San Joaquin Valley Metropolitan Planning Organizations to identify and support the development of innovative regional mobility pilot concepts, including an electric vehicle carsharing service known as Míocar. Míocar launched in August 2019 with roundtrip EV carsharing hubs in affordable housing complexes in the southern San Joaquin Valley. This study summarizes the data collected through a telephone survey with current Míocar users from January 2022 through March 2022. The survey asks users to reflect on their use of the service since they enrolled, and it builds upon past data collection efforts for this program by gathering detailed information on member characteristics, transportation needs and capabilities, and Míocar’s role as a transportation option for the users’ households. The results provide qualitative insights into members’ mobility challenges and considerations and the service’s impacts on user travel. Comparisons to existing carsharing programs suggest that Míocar is achieving similar impacts as other programs in some areas, such as reducing personal vehicle use, ownership, and associated greenhouse gas emissions. However, respondents emphasize its role in improving mobility within the rural region. The evaluation provides information for researchers to enhance future evaluations of rural carsharing, and findings may inform member recruitment, training, program design, and other efforts conducted by rural carsharing operators.

presentation

Innovative Pilot: Universal Mobility Pilot

research report

The Spatial Dilemma of Sustainable Transportation and Just Affordable Housing: Part I, Housing Choice Vouchers

Publication Date

September 13, 2022

Author(s)

Allie Padgett, Anne Yoon, Chhandara Pech, Jacob Wasserman, Paul Ong, Tiffany Green

Abstract

This study examines the spatial distribution of tenant-based Housing Choice Voucher (Section 8) units to understand whether geographic patterns and trends are consistent with climate change and equity goals. The analysis compares the location of heavy commercial vehicle units in 2012 and net changes from 2012 to 2019 with a number of transportation, environmental, and racial and economic equity metrics. While the change in units from 2012 to 2019 shows promising trends for reducing vehicle miles traveled and increasing walkability and transit accessibility, there is a cost: higher exposure to pollution and a higher rate of vehicle collisions. heavy commercial vehicle units are further concentrated in disproportionately low-income neighborhoods and neighborhoods of color, with worsened access to economic opportunity. The findings reveal an inherent structural dilemma in whether the heavy commercial vehicle program is able to simultaneously achieve climate and equity goals.

published journal article

Equity Implications of Robo-Taxis on Job Accessibility: Avoiding the Ecological Fallacy with Agent-Based Models

Abstract

Robo-taxis or shared-use automated vehicle-enabled mobility-on-demand services (SAMSs) are now in operation in the US and China. By removing drivers’ labor costs, SAMSs promise to provide significantly lower-cost transportation than human-driven mobility-on-demand services. Under this assumption, prior research indicates SAMS can provide sizable employment accessibility benefits to workers. The current paper aims to analyze the distribution of SAMS accessibility benefits across segments of the population (i.e., perform an equity analysis) using an agent-based travel modeling approach. The study’s methodology (i) clusters workers by their socio-demographic and -economic characteristics using latent class analysis, (ii) estimates hierarchical work location and commute mode choice models for four worker segments, and (iii) obtains logsum-based monetary measures of accessibility for each worker in a synthetic population of Southern California. Using this information, we analyze the distributions of SAMS accessibility benefits across several population segmentations. We utilize box plots to visualize the distributional differences across population segments. Additionally, we use ANOVA and post-hoc Tukey’s Honestly Significant Difference tests to analyze the overall and inter-group statistical significance of the distributional differences, respectively. The results indicate that low-income, Black, and Hispanic workers receive larger SAMS accessibility benefits on average than high-income, White, and Asian workers. Additionally, workers in zero-car households benefit more from SAMSs than one- and multi-car households, particularly after conditioning on the transit accessibility of the worker’s residence. The study also aggregates the agents into their origin census tracts, classifies the census tracts based on agent socio-demographic attributes, and then analyzes the distribution of SAMS accessibility benefits across census tract designations (e.g., low median income tracts vs. high median income tracts). The study finds that if analysts were to make individual-level inferences based on the spatial analysis, the inferences would be inaccurate in the case of household income and age, thereby misinforming policymakers regarding who benefits more/less from SAMS.

research report

The Spatial Dilemma of Sustainable Transportation and Just Affordable Housing: Part II, Low-income Housing Tax Credits

Publication Date

September 1, 2022

Author(s)

Allie Padgett, Anne Yoon, Chhandara Pech, Jacob Wasserman, Paul Ong, Tiffany Green

Abstract

This study examines the spatial distribution of Low-income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) units to understand whether geographic patterns and trends are consistent with climate change and equity goals. The analysis compares the location of LIHTC units in 2012 and net changes from 2012 to 2019 with a number of transportation, environmental, and racial and economic equity metrics. Unit locations are, at best, somewhat more sustainable than the state overall, with slightly lower-skewing vehicle miles traveled and better walkability, though low transit accessibility. What environmental gains there were, though, come at the cost of higher exposure to pollution. LIHTC units are also concentrated in disproportionately low-income neighborhoods and neighborhoods of color, with worse access to economic opportunity. The findings reveal an inherent structural dilemma in whether the LIHTC program is able to simultaneously achieve climate and equity goals.

policy brief

Potential Uses of Hydrogen in California’s Clean Energy Transition

Abstract

Currently, hydrogen is used in California in only a few significant applications, with refining being the most dominant. However, hydrogen has the potential to be a major zero-carbon energy carrier across many applications, including transportation, buildings, and various industries. What would be required for this kind of scale-up? What is the potential for hydrogen in different sectors and in different parts of the state? How can this potential be realized? Scaling up the use of hydrogen will likely require strong policies because currently it is produced on a small scale and is therefore expensive. This brief covers basic concepts of how hydrogen could be used, and how much end-use demand potential there could be for different applications across transportation, buildings and industry; however, it should be noted that this brief does not consider hydrogen used within the electricity system). It also considers strategy to some degree – such as where the greatest efforts should be placed. It builds on research that is ongoing on UC campuses as well as other sources.

research report

Simulating Life with Personally-Owned Autonomous Vehicles through a Naturalistic Experiment with Personal Drivers

Abstract

Forty-three households in the Sacramento region representing diverse demographics, modal preferences, mobility barriers, and weekly vehicle miles traveled (VMT) were provided personal chauffeurs for one or two weeks to simulate travel behavior with a personally owned, fully autonomous vehicle (AV). During the chauffeur week(s), the total number of trips increased on average by 25 percent, 85 percent of which were “zero-occupancy” (ZOV) trips (when the chauffeur is the only occupant). The average VMT for all households increased by 60 percent, over half of which came from ZOV trips. VMT increased most in households with mobility barriers and those with less auto-dependency but least in higher VMT households and families with children. Transit, ride-hailing, biking, and walking trips dropped by 70 percent, 55 percent, 38 percent, and 10 percent, respectively. The results highlight how AVs can enhance mobility, but also adversely affect the transportation system.

research report

Can Rebates Foster Equity in Congestion Pricing Programs?

Abstract

Congestion pricing improves economic efficiency, but it may lead to inequitable outcomes. A key policy priority in California is identifying ways to avoid the hardship of congestion pricing on low-income or other vulnerable populations. This study uses data from a congestion pricing experiment in the Seattle metro area to examine the feasibility of using revenue from congestion pricing to compensate those harmed by the policy. Results indicate that the initial burden of congestion pricing is highly inequitable, with the lowest-income drivers paying an average of 7 percent of their weekly income in congestion charges. There are also considerable differences in burdens within income groups. The research paper shows that policymakers face a tradeoff in ameliorating these two types of unequal burdens. Returning an equal fraction of the toll revenue to all drivers can make a policy progressive on average, but doing so leaves many drivers either overcompensated or under-compensated. The paper then shows that while compensation packages based on basic demographic information could improve targeting, many low-income drivers would be left with large proportional burdens because of the fundamental difficulty in predicting individual-level tax burdens. Survey data on travel behavior from Seattle and California metro areas show that the difficulty of designing equitable transfers would be similar in the California metro areas most likely to consider adopting some form of congestion pricing.