research report

Factors Affecting Demand for Plug-in Charging Infrastructure: An Analysis of Plug-in Electric Vehicle Commuters

Abstract

The public sector and the private sector, which includes automakers and charging network companies, are increasingly investing in building charging infrastructure to encourage the adoption and use of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) and to ensure that current facilities are not congested. However, building infrastructure is costly and, as with road congestion, when there is significant uptake of PEVs, the research team may not be able to “build out of congestion.” As such, the research team modeled the choice of charging location that more than 3000 PEV drivers make when given the options of home, work, and public locations. The study focused on understanding the importance of factors driving demand such as the cost of charging, driver characteristics, access to charging infrastructure, and vehicle characteristics. The research team found that differences in the cost of charging play an important role in the demand for charging locations. PEV drivers tend to substitute workplace charging for home charging when they pay a higher electricity rate at home, more so when the former is free. Additionally, socio-demographic factors like dwelling type and gender, as well as vehicle technology factors like electric range, influence the choice of charging location.

research report

E-commerce, Warehousing and Distribution Facilities in California: A Dynamic Landscape and the Impacts on Disadvantaged Communities

Abstract

This research paper addresses the distribution of warehouses and distribution centers (W&DCs) influenced by e-commerce, through spatial analysis and econometric modeling. Specifically, this work analyzes the concentration of W&DCs in various metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) in California between 1989 and 2016-18; and studies the spatial relationships between W&DC distribution and other demographic and environmental factors through econometric modeling techniques. The work conducts analyses to uncover common trends in W&DC distribution. The analyses used aggregate establishment, employment, and other socio-economic information, complemented with transportation-related variables. The results: 1) confirm that the weighted geometric centers of W&DCs have shifted slightly towards city central areas in all five MPOs; 2) W&DCs show a non-decreasing trend between 2008 and 2016; and 3) areas with more serious environmental problems are more likely to have W&DCs. A disaggregate analyses of properties sold and leased in one of the study regions shows a trend where businesses are buying or leasing smaller facilities, closer to the core of consumer demand. Among other factors, the growth of e-commerce sales, and expedited delivery services, which require proximity to the customers, may explain these trends. The study results provide insights for planners and policy decision-makers and will be of interest to practitioners, public and private entities, and academia. Caltrans, MPOs, and affiliated institutions of the National Center for Sustainable Transportation will directly benefit from the results as they want to avoid equity issues brought by the fast development of e-commerce, and its potential impact on W&DC distribution.

research report

Assessing the Safety Implication of Alternative Speed Limits in California

Publication Date

January 1, 2020

Author(s)

Michael Zhang, Sarder Rafee Musabbir

Abstract

This project combined the statewide crash data (SWIRTS) and traffic data (PeMS) to develop statistical models to determine the safety impacts of alternative speed limits on California highways. The models examined whether various factors about crashes, including average traffic speed and truck involvement, correlated with outcomes such as crash severity. The models were then used to test the impact of four alternative speed limit policies (B-E) on the predicted number of fatal crashes and unsafe-speed-related crashes in urban and rural areas. The policies were: (A) Existing differential speed policy for cars (65 mph) and trucks (55 mph); (B) Raising the speed limit on interstates for trucks from 55 to 65 mph; (C) Raising the speed limit on interstates from 55 to 75 mph for trucks and 65 to 75 mph for cars; (D) Lowering the existing differential speed on interstates from 55 to 50mph for trucks and 65 to 60 mph for cars; (E) Raising the existing differential speed on interstates from 55 to 70 mph for trucks and 65 to 80 mph for cars. The policy analysis shows a difference in the predicted number of crashes (fatal, unsafe speed) in and between urban and rural areas. The percentage increase/decrease in predicted fatal crashes in rural areas is lower than in urban areas across all policy alternatives.

research report

Zero-Emission Medium- and Heavy-duty Truck Technology, Markets, and Policy Assessments for California

Abstract

This report assesses zero emissions medium- and heavy-duty vehicle technologies, their associated costs, projected market share, and possible policy mandates and incentives to support their adoption. Cost comparisons indicate that battery-electric transit buses and city delivery trucks are the most economically attractive of the zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) based on their break-even mileage being a small fraction of the expected total mileage. These zero-emission vehicles using fuel cells are also attractive for a hydrogen cost of $5/kg. The most economically unattractive vehicle types for zero-emission vehicle adoption are long-haul trucks and inter-city buses. Developing mandates for buses and trucks will be more difficult than for passenger cars for several reasons, including the large differences in the size and cost of the vehicles and the ways they are used in commercial, profit-oriented fleets. The best approach will be to develop separate mandates for classes of vehicles that have similar sizes, cost characteristics, use patterns, and ownership/business models. These mandates should be coupled to incentives that vary by vehicle type/class and by year or accumulated sales volume, to account for the effects of expected price reductions with time.

presentation

Asphalt Pavement Maintenance & Rehabilitation

Publication Date

December 1, 2019

research report

Safety Implications of Automated Vehicles Providing External Communication to Pedestrians

Abstract

Automated Driving Systems (ADSs) are developing at a rapid pace and even testing on public roads, but pedestrians’ interaction with ADSs is not comprehensively understood and investigated to ensure safe operations of ADSs. The objective of this study is to investigate the effective interaction between ADSs and pedestrians. The research team developed prototype interfaces using different modalities, for example, text vs. symbol and a variety of symbols. These interfaces communicated three types of information: 1) intention of ADS; 2) instructing pedestrians what to do, and 3) ADS’s awareness of pedestrians. The team tested the interfaces through two field studies in three uncontrolled intersections with crosswalks. The Wizard of Oz method was used, in which an experimenter worked as a driver and was invisible by wearing an outfit to simulate an automated vehicle (AV). The interfaces were displayed on an LED panel mounted on the automated vehicle. Results showed external interface on the automated vehicle didn’t change the decision time for pedestrians to cross. However, the vehicle movement patterns (e.g., slowing down the vehicle speed) continued to be a significant cue for pedestrians. All participants perceived the communication of the ADS’s intent (e.g., “stopping” printed on the LED panel) and the advisory information from the ADS (e.g., an icon that indicated it was safe for pedestrians to cross); these were both more effective than trying to convey the awareness of the ADS (e.g., an icon with an open or closed eye). The subjective ratings showed positive effects of the interfaces that were easy to understand (e.g., text interface and symbol interface) as they did help pedestrians to feel safe and trustful when interacting with the ADS.

research report

Partnerships between Ridehailing Companies and Public Transit Agencies: An Exploration of Inter-agency Learning about Pilot Programs

Abstract

In early 2016 the Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority implemented a pilot program in partnership with Uber and United Taxi (a local company) to provide subsidized travel for trips to and from specified public transportation stops (Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority). Since that time, similar pilots have sprung up throughout the US. Presumably, the proliferation of these pilots is due to early successes; likely measured by cost savings, increased ridership, expanded service areas, improved first/last mile connections, and increased visibility of ride-hailing services. The research team would expect the outcomes of these pilots to be shared among public transportation operators, resulting in improvements as they are implemented in new locations over time. However, much of the information that might be used to evaluate these programs is confidential or proprietary, creating challenges for public transportation operators to discuss details with others. This project aims to identify the factors informing the implementation of these pilots and the pathways by which relevant information is shared among public transportation operators. Key questions are: Do transit agencies gather information independently; from one another, academic sources, policy experts, or others? Are transit agencies primarily informed by potential ride-hailing industry partners as they consider these partnerships and programs? And how do these different pathways impact the partnerships transit agencies form with ride-hailing companies and the programs they launch?

presentation

Pavement Life Cycle Cost Analysis

Publication Date

November 1, 2019

policy brief

Electrified Buses Provide Life Cycle Environmental Benefits but Need Cost Reductions and Policy Support for Near-Term Adoption

Abstract

In December 2018, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) approved the Innovative Clean Transit regulation, which is designed to transition the state to all-electric bus fleets by 2040. To comply with this first-of its-kind regulation, transit agencies have two alternatives: battery electric buses (BEBs) and hydrogen fuel cell electric buses (FCEBs). These options vary in energy requirements, overall effectiveness in reducing different emission types, associated life cycle costs (including disposal of the bus), and ability to meet operating needs of transit agencies. To support transit agencies and decision makers transition to cleaner bus technologies, researchers at UC Irvine developed a life cycle-based analysis (LCA) tool to estimate the potential costs and benefits of switching to BEBs and FCEBs compared to conventional buses. The LCA tool was tested on the Orange County Transportation Authority (OCTA) to better understand the environmental impacts and cost constraints.