policy brief

Robo-Taxis Are Likely to Increase Job Accessibility, Especially Among Low-Income Households

Areas of Expertise

Intelligent Transportation Systems, Emerging Technologies, & Big Data Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice

Abstract

After years of research and development, companies are now operating fully driverless shared-use automated vehicle-enabled mobility services (SAMS) or “robo-taxis“ in Arizona and California. SAMS offer several potential benefits to travelers and society including reducing vehicle ownership, parking demand, congestion, crashes, energy consumption, and emissions, as well as increasing roadway capacity, mobility, and accessibility. Moreover, previous research by our team found that SAMS can provide significant job accessibility benefits to workers in California. To better understand the equity implications of the job accessibility benefits from SAMS, we analyzed the distribution of SAMS benefits across different segments of the population (e.g., low- vs. high-income, young vs. old).
To measure the accessibility benefits of SAMS, we use the logsum of a hierarchical work destination and commute mode choice model—a monetary measure of consumer surplus consistent with microeconomic and utility maximization theories. If a new commute mode (e.g., SAMS) is made available to travelers, and that new mode is competitive with existing modes in terms of travel time and travel cost, then the new mode will improve a traveler’s job accessibility. For more information, please see our previous study on measuring the job access benefits of SAMS2.

policy brief

Who Benefits the Most from the California High-Speed Rail Project?

Areas of Expertise

Infrastructure Delivery, Operations, & Resilience Public Transit, Shared Mobility, & Active Transportation

Abstract

The California High-Speed Rail (HSR) project stands to significantly change transportation across the state, but questions remain about who will benefit most from this massive infrastructure investment. This brief presents a more nuanced understanding of the travel benefits (e.g., quicker and sometimes cheaper transportation) and wider economic benefits (e.g., higher wages and land values stemming from greater concentration of employment) are distributed across California regions and socioeconomic and income groups. By understanding the potential disparities in the impact of the HSR project, policymakers can develop complementary policies to promote more balanced economic development across regions in the state.

policy brief

The First Phase of California’s High-Speed Rail Project Provides the Greatest Economic Benefits Compared to Full Build Out

Areas of Expertise

Infrastructure Delivery, Operations, & Resilience Public Transit, Shared Mobility, & Active Transportation

Abstract

The California High-Speed Rail (HSR) project aims to transform transportation in the state. To understand the impact of this project as it “rolls out” across the state, this brief summarizes findings and insights from an analysis of HSR’s economic benefits across each of its planned phases. The analysis is based on a spatial economic model of the rail system model previously developed by members of the research team. This model captures the direct potential travel benefits, such as quicker and sometimes cheaper transportation, and wider economic benefits, such as higher wages and land values stemming from greater concentration of employment.

policy brief

Justice-Centered Mapping Tools for Selecting Electric Vehicle Charger Locations

Areas of Expertise

Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice Zero-Emission Vehicles & Low-Carbon Fuels

Abstract

Millions of electric vehicles are expected on American roads in the coming decade. California alone will require over two million publicly accessible chargers to support over 15 million electric vehicles by 2035, and nationwide over 28 million total chargers will be needed by 2030. To assist local agencies and community stakeholders with identifying high-priority investment zones for charging infrastructure, a research team at UC Berkeley, developed a public, open-access platform to inform equity-oriented electric vehicle infrastructure decision-making. As part of this work, the team analyzed existing research, electric vehicle and mobility plans, and obtained input from California local and state government program leaders to gather data across four core categories: equity, transportation infrastructure, grid infrastructure, and community resources.

website

Trip Referral Portal for Accessible Transportation in Contra Costa County

Areas of Expertise

Public Transit, Shared Mobility, & Active Transportation Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice

Abstract

A directory website for accessible transit services is an online platform that aggregates and organizes information about various transportation options available within the designed area, with a prototyped function of recommending service providers.

policy brief

A Review of SB 1 Project Performance: Cost Overruns, Schedule Delays, and Cancellations

Publication Date

October 1, 2024

Author(s)

Michael Hyland, Jiangbo (Gabe) Yu, Younghun Bahk

Areas of Expertise

Infrastructure Delivery, Operations, & Resilience Transportation Economics, Funding, & Finance

Abstract

The Road Repair and Accountability Act of 2017 (Senate Bill 1 or SB 1) aims to improve and enhance California’s transportation infrastructure. Like many infrastructure programs, however, there are concerns with project cost overruns, delays, and cancellations, as these can undermine program goals and negatively impact quality of life in California.
This brief highlights key findings from an analysis of quarterly Caltrans SB 1 project reports between 2018 and 2023 to provide insights into project costs, delays, and cancellations.

published journal article

Decisions & Distance: The Relationship Between Child Care Access and Child Care Travel

Publication Date

November 27, 2023

Author(s)

Evelyn Blumenberg, Madeline Wander, Zhiyuan Yao

Areas of Expertise

Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice

Abstract

In the U.S., child care supply has long fallen short of demand, with variations across neighborhoods that differ by income, race, and ethnicity. Yet there is relatively little research on child care access, use, and travel. This study tests the relationship between formal child care supply and households’ use of formal care and home-to-child-care travel distances in California. Using a two-step floating catchment area method, the study develops a time-weighted spatial measure of child care access and apply this measure in statistical models to predict two outcome measures: the likelihood of making a home-to-child-care trip and travel distance to the child care center, controlling for other factors. Key findings are that child care access is associated with an increased likelihood of using formal child care—and among households that use such care, access is associated with shorter travel distances. The analysis underscores the importance of policies to address spatial barriers to child care, particularly in neighborhoods—low-income, Latinx, non-urban—where child care supply is limited.

research report

Modeling and Analyzing Cost Overruns, Delays, and Cancellations in Senate Bill 1 Projects

Publication Date

October 1, 2024

Author(s)

Michael Hyland, Jiangbo (Gabe) Yu, Younghun Bahk

Areas of Expertise

Infrastructure Delivery, Operations, & Resilience Transportation Economics, Funding, & Finance

Abstract

In 2017, California passed Senate Bill 1 (SB1) to bolster transportation infrastructure funding. Using data primarily from the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans)’s official SB1 progress reports, this report analyzes the severity of cost overruns, delays, and cancellations across SB1 Transportation Projects. Although events such as the COVID-19 pandemic likely caused some of these negative outcomes, the statistical models developed for this analysis show consistent patterns of overruns associated with fiscal periods, programs, and geographic locations. Results indicate that the common 20% contingency is generally insufficient, indicating the need for better risk estimation in project planning. Results also suggest amplifying data transparency on project performance and re-evaluating project selection criteria to avoid rewarding underestimation of project costs and duration and penalizing accurate estimation.

research report

Developing a Safety Effectiveness Evaluation Tool for California

Publication Date

September 1, 2024

Author(s)

Jia Li, Michael Zhang, Yanlin Qi

Areas of Expertise

Safety, Public Health, & Mobility Justice

Abstract

Crash modification factor (CMF) is an effectiveness measure of safety countermeasures. It is widely used by state agencies to evaluate and prioritize various safety improvement projects. The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) CMF Clearinghouse provides CMFs for a broad range of countermeasures, but still, the existing CMFs often cannot meet the needs for characterizing the safety impacts of countermeasures in new scenarios. Developing CMFs, meanwhile, is costly, time-consuming, and requires extensive data collection. This study provides a low-cost and easily extendable data-driven framework for CMF predictions. This framework performs data mining on existing CMF records in the FHWA CMF Clearinghouse. The study also integrates multiple machine-learning models to learn the complex hidden relationships between different safety countermeasure scenarios. Finally, the proposed framework is trained against the CMF Clearinghouse data and performs comprehensive evaluations. The results show that the proposed framework can provide CMF predictions for new countermeasure scenarios with reasonable accuracy, with overall mean absolute errors less than 0.2.