Project Summary
The emergence of the “3 Revolutions” (automation, electrification and shared mobility) presents a range of questions regarding how consumers will travel in the future, and under what conditions there may be rapid adoption of various services. These include individual on-demand taxi-style services, shared mobility in pooled services, and use of public transit. All scenarios described can include drivers or not include drivers. There is now enough data and estimates on the costs of these service combinations, and in some cases ridership data, to consider how consumers are making choices and how they may so in the future as service options evolve. This project will: a) review existing literature and data on consumer mode and vehicle choice, b) develop a new cost estimating system for various service and technology options now and in the future, and c) conduct an analysis of travel choice behavior, including policies that might influence this behavior, in the near and longer term. These policies could include simple vehicle miles traveled (VMT)-based pricing, adjusted pricing such as taking into account vehicle occupancy, and non-market approaches such as road, urban area, or parking access restrictions.
